i f you have 2 pairs after the flop – you’ll make a full house or better 16.7% of time (odds 5:1).if you have a pair after the flop, you’ll make at least trips on the last 2 cards 8.42% of time (odds 11:1).a pair will flop 4 to a straight 1 in 37 times.a pair will flop 4 of a kind 1 in 407 times.a pair will flop a full house 1 in 101 times.a pair will flop a set 10.8% of time – i.e.a pair will flop a set or better 11.8% of the time – i.e.a pair is 5:2 (71.5%) against 1 card higher and 1 lower – e.g.QQ vs 10-6) – but less if they are suited and less again if they are suited and connected a pair is 86% against 2 lower cards (i.e.2-2 vs A-10, or 2-2 vs 4-9) and about 50/50 if the higher cards are suited or connected a pair is 55% (11:10) against 2 higher cards (i.e.a pair has an 18% chance against a higher pair – indeed KK is about the same chance against AA as is 2-2! (Hence any pair is a good bet when you are getting pot odds of better than 4:1 (see our strategy guide on ‘ Pot Odds & Implied Odds’).a pair has about an 82% chance against a lower pair.– the chance of the deck flopping ‘overcards’ (cards higher than yours): Hence, you can expect to pick up AA, KK, QQ or AKs about once every 7-8 rounds in an 8-handed game.you can expect one of AA, KK or QQ every 74 hands – or at least one of AA, KK, QQ or AK suited once every 60 hands. AA (or KK, etc.) occurs once in every 221 hands (0.45%).There are 16 ways (chances) of getting AK (4 of which are AK suited), but only 6 of getting AA (or 9-9, for that matter).If you disregard sets, there are 169 different possible two-card hands.What follows are some of our favourite odds – and what they mean for you: Poker is very much a probability-based game and so playing a strategy that follows correct poker probabilities (or odds) will increase your chances of success. Risk: Humiliation! Reward: She might say yes! “Do I walk across this dance floor and ask that girl to dance?” Poker, like life, is all about probabilities.Įvery day you weigh up the risks of doing something against the benefits.

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